Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.865904 1.011465 1.168265 1.349060 1.551082 1.769188 2.021759
2025-08-10 0.616656 0.816269 1.051890 1.347184 1.703818 2.117030 2.628159
2025-08-17 0.437042 0.653148 0.931236 1.306959 1.792277 2.388650 3.166563
2025-08-24 0.332647 0.556108 0.866879 1.314917 1.926953 2.715584 3.788059
2025-08-31 0.254451 0.474467 0.803859 1.307799 2.031214 3.002330 4.370260
2025-09-07 0.210261 0.432222 0.786573 1.356541 2.208728 3.390912 5.102941
2025-09-14 0.172952 0.391488 0.762704 1.388502 2.359681 3.747275 5.806621
2025-09-21 0.134384 0.338208 0.708292 1.363489 2.419628 3.973805 6.336778
2025-09-28 0.112249 0.310317 0.691280 1.394081 2.562893 4.324442 7.054889
2025-10-05 0.093878 0.285092 0.674186 1.420715 2.699052 4.668558 7.775536
2025-10-12 0.078356 0.261699 0.656153 1.442191 2.825982 5.002325 8.491996
2025-10-19 0.064089 0.236847 0.630671 1.446176 2.921996 5.290551 9.149153
2025-10-26 0.048930 0.204807 0.585620 1.410265 2.950429 5.479329 9.672738
2025-11-02 0.039185 0.184320 0.561924 1.412637 3.045578 5.779754 10.382131
2025-11-09 0.029183 0.158256 0.519951 1.372699 3.060786 5.949382 10.892705
2025-11-16 0.023444 0.143857 0.502994 1.381754 3.164926 6.269251 11.651180
2025-11-23 0.018239 0.128460 0.480066 1.374691 3.237153 6.537180 12.334299
2025-11-30 0.015755 0.123187 0.483254 1.425517 3.423081 7.006548 13.359667
2025-12-07 0.013171 0.115846 0.479095 1.458806 3.576133 7.424196 14.312274
2025-12-14 0.009774 0.101562 0.451174 1.432832 3.608728 7.630783 14.920265
2025-12-21 0.008106 0.095635 0.447562 1.464646 3.759729 8.052684 15.900612
2025-12-28 0.006650 0.089706 0.442592 1.492334 3.903370 8.465996 16.877523
2026-01-04 0.005374 0.083680 0.435877 1.514655 4.036607 8.864587 17.839744